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Edwards Market Thoughts

10/12/18 8:10 am

Export sales report 10-12-18: Corn on the lower side of trade estimates and soybeans very disappointing. 

COMMODITY                      ACTUAL                                                                     TRADE ESTIMATE

 CORN                          1,006,600 MT’S                                                     1,000,000-1,500,000 MT’S

 SOYBEANS                     439,600 MT’S                                                        800,000-1,300,000 MT’S

Markets will be monitoring weather over the weekend to see if harvest delay’s due to snow and rain will continue.  At present looks as though we will have a break in areas and warmer temps are forecasted for the end of next week.

USDA numbers took most by surprise, especially for corn on the decrease in yield.  Looking at the state by state changes, Iowa and Illinois yields were both dropped by 2 bushels/acre, and Nebraska was dropped by 3 bushels/acre. Yields in Indiana were raised by 2 bushels/acre, and Minnesota was left unchanged. In addition to the yield change, the USDA is now projecting corn exports to be a record 2.475 billion bushels. . State yields for soybeans in Iowa and South Dakota were increased by 1 bushels/acre, and many of the other higher producing states were left unchanged. Other than a decrease in planted acres, there were no other balance sheet changes. Carryout was a bit less than expected.

December corn futures continues to find tough support above the $3.69 ¾ number.

 

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Local Weather

Sioux Center, Iowa (51250)

Current Conditions: Clear
Temperature: 27°F Dew point: 25°F
Humidity: 93% Pressure: 30.27 in. Hg
Wind: 5 mph From: West

Forecast

Monday

Hi: 41°
Lo: 37°
Tuesday

Hi: 52°
Lo: 32°
Wednesday

Hi: 50°
Lo: 37°
Thursday

Hi: 59°
Lo: 43°
Friday

Hi: 56°
Lo: 34°

Zip Code:

© 2018 Freese-Notis Weather

Siouxland Cash Bids
Name Delivery End Basis Cash Price Futures Price

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Quotes retrieved on October 15, 2018, 05:13:41 AM CDT
Driveway Camera
Corn Receiving Alert

 

 Oct. 12th 7:00-4:30   Saturday Oct 13th Noon to 5pm

                           Weather Permitting

Commentary
Corn Market Commentary -

Corn futures settled 3 3/4 to 4 1/2 cents higher on Friday. This morning’s FAS Export Sales report indicated that 1.007 MMT of 18/19 corn was

Cotton Market Commentary -

Cotton futures are showing triple digit gains today. Friday’s edition of the Export Sales report listed 97,997 RB in 18/19 upland cotton sales

Lean Hogs Market Commentary -

Lean hog futures were 57 cents higher to $1.07 lower, with contracts past December in the minus column. The CME Lean Hog Index was down 6 on October

Cattle Market Commentary -

Live cattle futures closed 30 to 85 cents lower in the nearby contracts. Feeder cattle futures were down $1.27 to $2.12 on rising feed costs. The

Wheat Market Commentary -

Wheat futures settled 6 to 10 1/2 cents higher in the three markets, led by KC HRW and planting concerns due to wet weather. Friday’s USDA

Soybeans Market Commentary -

Soybean futures settled mostly 9 cents higher. Nearby soy meal is down 30 cents/ton, with soy oil UNCH. US Soybean export sales in the week of 10/4

Full commentary...