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Edwards Market Thoughts

5/18/18 8:35am

Grain markets bounced last night on news the Chinese govt extended an olive branch and stated it was ending its US sorghum anti-dumping probe and return in full any deposits for the tariffs. In reality the damage has already been done and most of those vessels have found a different home. Still the trade is hopeful this is the start of getting this trade dispute behind us. July corn almost tested the $4.02 resistance point but stalled there. We need a close above this level to counter the short term down trend.

Open interest in corn jumped another 10k contracts yesterday, mostly in the July and Sept contracts. Tonight's Commitment of Traders report should show the funds expanding their long position in corn again. US corn planting pace is expected to be near the 5 year avg in next Monday's report as the upper Midwest races to get corn in the ground before the next rain system this weekend. French corn plantings are 8^% complete vs 97% a year ago.

 Look for supportive trade with $4.02 in July and $4.20 in Dec as key resistance points.

Initial crop ratings for corn likely a week from Monday. Suspect we will see a fairly high number. Year ago the initial rating was 65% and did not deviate much until late summer when it dropped to a low of 60%. The howling over how meaningless they are begins shortly. Let’s all remember crop ratings are “subjective” observations and not directly comparable year / year. All depends from where you start.









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Local Weather

Sioux Center, Iowa (51250)

Current Conditions: Cloudy
Temperature: 52°F Dew point: 46°F
Humidity: 82% Pressure: 30.15 in. Hg
Wind: 6 mph From: Northeast



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Siouxland Cash Bids
Name Delivery End Basis Cash Price Futures Price

View all cash prices...
Quotes retrieved on May 20, 2018, 06:50:52 AM CDT
Free Price Later


On Monday, March 19th Siouxland Energy will be receiving corn for Free Price Later once again. As always it is a first come delivery, we will not book space for customer bushels. If you have any questions feel free to contact Tom Edwards at 712-722-3906!

Driveway Cam
Ag Market Commentary -

Corn futures ended the Friday session with 6 to 7 1/2 cent gains in the front months, as nearby July was up 6 cents on the week.  That followed

Cotton -

Cotton futures posted strong 79 to 152 point gains in the front months on Friday. Nearby July was up 2.28% on the week. Bulls are talking up Chinese

Soybeans -

Soybean futures got a little help from the rest of the commodity complex to hold out for 3 to 4 cent gains on Friday. Soy meal was up $1.20/ton,

Lean Hogs -

Lean hog futures settled with losses of 30 cents to $1.775 on Friday. The CME Lean Hog Index was up 87 cents from the previous day to $67.01 on May

Cattle -

Live cattle futures posted 40 to 87.5 cent losses on Friday to end a week that saw June fall 4.85%. Feeder cattle futures were 87.5 cents to $1.425

Corn -

Corn futures ended the Friday session with 6 to 7 1/2 cent gains in the front months, as nearby July was up 6 cents on the week.  That followed

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